Service Plays Saturday 8/7/10

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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Thank you, wilheim.......

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Saturday’s Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

Matt Cain (9-8, 2.98 ERA), San Francisco Giants

This flame-throwing righty is 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA and a 0.61 WHIP (walks + hits per inning) over his last four starts. Oddsmakers have made him a favorite in three of those for outings but only once was he priced above -150.

Bookies are also keeping his totals low. The over/under line has been 7.5 or lower in six of his last eight trips to the bump.

Livan Hernandez (8-7, 3.12 ERA), Washington Nationals

The ageless, soft-tossing righty has produced masterful starts in two of his last three outings and the under is 5-0 in his last five trips to the bump. The Nats have won just two of his last five appearances but Hernandez still owns a shiny 2.03 ERA in his last four starts.

Slumping

Clayton Richard (9-5, 3.60 ERA) San Diego Padres

Richard’s record would look a lot worse if it weren’t for the run support his teammates were giving him. The 26-year-old lefty has tossed just two quality starts in his last six appearances and yet the resilient Padres are 4-2 over the six-game stretch.

The over is 8-0 in his last eight trips to the bump and oddsmakers set 6.5 totals in each of his last two outings.

Josh Johnson (10-4, 1.96 ERA), Florida Marlins

Johnson’s pitched so well this season that any slightest falter gets him thrown into the slumping pit. The Marlin ace allowed seven hits, four walks and five runs in 5 2/3 innings in his last start.

"I just didn't make my pitches," Johnson said after the game. "My slider was more middle than toward the outside corner. When you have that, you have to make a perfect pitch every time."

He also gave up eight hits, three walks and three runs in a seven-inning outing in his start before last. Again, not incriminating stuff, but considering the guy’s been carrying an ERA under 2.00, it can’t go unnoticed.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Saturday's Best MLB Bets

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-185, 8.5)

The Red Sox entered their four-game series against the Yankees looking to gain some ground in the AL East. They may present a similar opportunity for bettors looking to do the same on their books.

Boston's 1-8 record in their last nine at Yankee Stadium and a DL littered with stars have made them heavy underdogs in the first two meetings and likely will all weekend.

Despite playing without first baseman Kevin Youkilis and second baseman Dustin Pedroia, things aren't as bad in Beantown as they may appear. Mike Lowell and Jacoby Ellsberry returned from the DL just in time to add some depth and the Red Sox are still loaded with stating pitching.

"Despite what we're missing, what we have is good enough to get really hot. That says a lot about the depth on this roster, the quality of this team," Red Sox general manager Theo Epstein. "Setting aside health for a second, we throw a really good starting pitcher on the mound every night, I believe, and I believe we have a deep lineup. The injuries don't prevent us from getting as hot as we're going to need to get to do some damage here."

Righty John Lackey takes on lefty CC Sabathia, who has just one win over his last four starts with a 3.67 ERA. Lackey also has just one victory to show for his last four outings but has a 3.26 ERA over that span, so the pitching could be a push.

The Red Sox are batting .284 against lefties in their last 10 while the Yankees are hitting just .248 against righties during that span. Despite the lopsided odds, this one looks close enough to go for some value.

Pick: Boston Red Sox


Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (-120, Off)

Are the Cubs really favored to beat the Reds? If so, on what grounds? The pitching matchup alone?

Granted, Cincy righthander Edinson Volquez has had a couple of bad outings since returning from the DL, but the Reds are 17-4 in his last 21 road starts.

Counterpart Randy Wells isn't exactly lighting it up either. He is 0-2 in his last two starts, when the Cubs allowed a total of 26 runs.

And as for hitting, the Reds have been hammering righties to the tune of .304 over their last 10 compared to just .251 for the Cubs.

The Reds have owned the Cubbies recently, winning six of the last seven meetings. Cincy has outscored Chicago by an incredible 52-10 during that span, posting 14 runs twice and 12 in another.

Plus the Reds are in a pennant race while the Cubs are cleaning house and already talking about next season for the 102nd consecutive year. Call us crazy but we're riding with the Reds.

Pick: Cincinnati Reds

 

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LADY LUCK

Saturday's Best WNBA Bets

Minnesota Lynx at Chicago Sky (-6.5, 156.5)

Neither team has had much to cheer about this year, but the Sky have an ace in the hole that the Lynx would kill for: Sylvia Fowles.

The 6-foot-6, 200-pound, third-year pro out of Louisiana Tech is averaging 18.2 points and 9.9 rebounds per game. She has dominated the painted area in the league this season and is a huge reason the Sky are fourth in the league in points allowed (75.1) and defensive rebounding (32.7). This post dominance has allowed Chicago to stay in every game this year and is a huge reason the team is 16-11-1 ATS this year – the best mark in the WNBA.

In the team’s first meeting this year, the Sky dominated the post action by recording nine blocks. Fowles had 18 points in that meeting to lead all scorers.

"I hate sitting on the bench, and then my competitive side kicked in," Fowles, who picked up two early fouls in the team’s first meeting, said. "My teammates needed me and I needed to step up. I went out there and did what I was capable of doing."

The Lynx have dropped five of their past seven and are allowing more than 84 points per game.

Pick: Chicago Sky


Tulsa Shock at Seattle Storm (-14.5, 159.5)

Seattle may have the best regular season record – by far – in the WNBA, but its 23-4 SU mark hides its ATS record. The Storm are just 14-11-2 ATS this season – the fourth-best mark in the league – and a poor 3-6-1 ATS in its past 10.

A big reason for the poor ATS mark is that books have caught up with Seattle and made them at least a 5.5-point favorite in all but one of their games over that terrible span. The team also has to work on its motivation: it suffered its worst loss of the season last week in an 84-75 loss to the Shock in which the squad was a 12.5-point favorite.

And it was a wretched loss. The Shock are a WNBA-worst 5-22 SU and 8-19 ATS this year.

So how did they manage to upset the best team in the league? Forcing turnovers and making three-pointers.

''I think Tulsa played very well. They played aggressive,'' Seattle coach Brian Agler told the Associated Press. ''The thing I have found out about this league, being in this league for a long time, is usually the hungrier teams win. We had a long stretch of being hungry and for whatever reason we lost that. Tulsa has played hungry all year long. They work hard, they play hard, they try to make things happen, and tonight they did and took advantage of the opportunities.”

The Shock, in their first season since moving from Detroit, forced 24 turnovers and banged 9-of-18 three-pointers to come away with the victory. Guards Scholanda Robinson and Ivory Latta and forward Amber Holt each had two triples while Robinson finished with a game-high 21 points and four assists.

Pick: Tulsa Shock

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL TRENDS AND NOTES
CFL Trends And Write Ups

CFL LONG SHEET
WINNIPEG (2 - 3) at HAMILTON (1 - 4) - 8/7/2010, 7:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CALGARY (4 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 4) - 8/7/2010, 10:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in August games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-0 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CFL WRITE UP-Week 6 CFL games

Winnipeg (2-3) @ Hamilton (1-4)
Teams already split two meetings in '10; Bombers (+3) won first meeting 49-29, running ball for 211 yards, then lost rematch 28-7 (+3.5) in game they trailed 14-0 at half. TiCats are allowing 41.3 ppg on road, 15 ppg at home. Winnipeg scored 49-47 points in its two wins, 34-7-20 in losses. Three of last four Hamilton games stayed under the total.

Calgary (4-1) @ BC Lions (1-4)
Lions lost last four games, last three by 4-4-3 points; BC scored only 15 ppg in losing both its home games. Stampeders allowed 22 or less points in its wins, 27 in loss at Toronto. Three of last four Calgary games were decided by three or less points. Stamps split pair of road games, winning 23-22 at Hamilton, losing next week at Toronto 27-24. Under is 3-1-1 in BC games this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CANADIAN BACON

Saturday's Best CFL Bets

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-3, 54)

Many thought these were the two teams that’d be fighting for second place in the East. But here we are heading into Week 6 and both the two sides are on the wrong side of .500.

Hamilton is capable of much better as long as its key players stop shooting themselves in the foot. Its receivers’ drops are turning into interceptions and the team can’t cash in on its own turnover chances.

Steven Jyles will likely get another start for the Bombers in the absence of Buck Pierce, who’s still nagged by a knee injury. Jyles isn’t bad but he’s doesn’t have Piece’s tools.

Meanwhile, Kevin Glenn has been on fire lately and he seems to know how to get the best of another former Bomber, Arland Bruce III, who caught 16 passes for 272 yards last week.

Pick: Hamilton Tiger Cats


Calgary Stampeders at British Columbia Lions (+2.5, 48.5)

The psychological warfare started this week on Twitter between these two teams when Stamps wideout Nik Lewis suggested that Lion defenders hit too often below the knees. He also nagged slotback Geroy Simon saying that Simon will probably need make-up to cover up his anxieties.

Lions DB Korey Banks didn’t need the new technologies to react in front of the media: “Nik Lewis is an idiot. I ain’t afraid of saying it.”

Kid stuff, no doubt about it, but we’ll see what this brings on the field.

The Lions defense can create havoc. Davis Sanchez, a former Alouette, is probably playing the best football of his career. Kerone Williams, another former Montreal player, is also picking back from his glory days.

Offensively, the Lions’ attack has been without timid Casey Printers. Last week, B.C. produced nine points and generated only six plays of 10 yards or more.

Pick: Calgary Stampeders

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AFL TRENDS AND NOTES
AFL Trend Report

TAMPA BAY (11 - 5) at TULSA (10 - 6) - 8/7/2010, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 8 or more games since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) after playing a game on a Saturday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (10 - 6) at MILWAUKEE (11 - 5) - 8/7/2010, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 1-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

INDOOR WAR

Saturday's Best AFL Bets

Tampa Bay Storm at Tulsa Talons (+2, 112.5)

Tulsa has only lost two games at the BOK Center in franchise history. Granted, the Talons were playing against inferior competition in the af2 for most of that stretch but they’ve already defeated the Storm once at home this season.

However, that was Week 1 and this Tampa team is a totally different beast. Tim Marcum’s clubs are notoriously slow starters and the Storm got out to a 2-3 start this season. Since then, the team is 9-2 straight up and 7-4 against the spread.

The Storm have a rich, winning history with five Arena Bowl championships and this is a veteran-laden squad. Look for Tampa’s top-ranked defense to come away with a few key turnovers and propel this team into the next round.

Pick: Tampa Bay Storm


Chicago Rush at Milwaukee Iron (-7.5, 114)

This spread has already moved from an opener of -9 down to its current number. The reason being is because you never want to bet against Mike Hohensee.

“In any coaching matchup in arena football there are a couple of coaches I’m going to trust every time,” Covers Expert Ted Sevransky said. “One is Mike Hohensee and the other is Tim Marcum.”

Back in Week 13, the Rush were forced to play without their starting quarterback and all three starting wideouts. Chicago opened as a 1-point home underdog in that contest but as news surfaced about the absence of key players, the spread moved to 9 points by kickoff. Hohensee and his makeshift lineup found a way to pull off the miracle, winning the game 63-56.

Chicago ended the regular season with nine players on injured reserve and a pair of integral starters left the team. Two offensive linemen and a receiver were the only three offensive players in the Rush’s season finale starting lineup that were in the same positions Week 1.

The Iron have played every home game in the Bradley Center but this contest will take place at US Cellular Arena because of a renovation conflict. New surroundings coupled with Chicago’s ability to achieve the impossible will allow the Rush to cover the spread.

Pick: Chicago Rush

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BETTORS TIPS AND NOTES
Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Saturday's Wagering Tips

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Rangers at Athletics– This game opened with a total of 7.5 runs, but it has since risen to 8 with many different books.

Reds at Cubs – The home team opened as a -120 favorite, however the line has fallen to -115 in many markets.

Nationals at Dodgers – LA started as -180 chalk but that money line has moved to as low as -175 with some books.

Weather Report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Rangers at Athletics – There is a 13 mph wind blowing from behind home plate toward right center field.

Angels at Tigers – A 10 mph wind is expected to blow across the diamond from behind home plate toward left center field.

Cardinals at Marlins– There is a 30 percent chance of rain with a 7 mph blowing across the diamond from first toward third.

Who’s Hot

The Houston Astros are on an absolute run since the All-Star break, winning eight of their past 10 and giving up four or fewer runs in eight of those games.

The Phillies are a fantastic 8-2 over the past 10 games because of a strong offense – the team has hit the over in eight of its past 10.

The Chicago Sky have been on a phenomenal run ATS, posting a record of 11-5-1 over its past 17.

Who’s Not

The Braves are struggling to find rhythm in their offense, hitting the under in eight of their past 10 games and averaging just 3.2 runs per game over that span.

Even when the Seattle Storm struggles it still manages to play defense, seeing five of its past six overall fall short of the total.

No team sucks right now more than Seattle, going 1-9 over its past 10 and four of its past five have ended up below the total.

Key Stat

37 – Consecutive games without consecutive wins for the Mets, the only team in the Majors that has failed to win at least two straight games since June 23. The team’s record is 64 straight games without consecutive wins, set in 1993.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Rays first baseman Carlos Pena is on the disabled list with plantar fasciitis in his right foot. Pena has been out since Saturday when he aggravated the injury against the Yankees, but now will be forced to miss more than two weeks of action. Pena is a key piece of a Rays’ lineup that has been no-hit twice this season. He is hitting .212, but has 23 home runs and 68 as the main source of power in the batting order. “I felt confident I would be able to [recover] within a short amount of time, within a couple of days. I thought maybe tomorrow I would be able to play,” Pena told MLB.com. “But after talking to the doctors and to [manager Joe Maddon and the medical staff], we looked at it in a different way. Would I rather play eight weeks at 75 percent or seven weeks at 100 percent? For me, it's a no-brainer -- I'd rather play seven at 100."

Game Of The Day

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies

Notable Quotable

"I've always said that if there's a GM position that should ever open that I would be interested in going back to the NBA as a GM for the right spot and the right opportunity.” – Isiah Thomas to ESPN.com on returning to a front office position with the Knicks.

Tips And Notes

- To find good value, you can sometimes spot a mediocre team that should dominate a bad team. That’s just the case when last-place D.C. United (3-12-3) travel up I-95 to face the New England Revolution (4-9-3) on Saturday. The Revolution took the team’s only meeting this season, 2-0, and boast a 2-0 road win over Los Angeles and a 1-1 draw with the Union in the team’s two most recent matches. Meantime, D.C. United is an MLS-worst 1-6-2 on the road this year and lost its past three games by an aggregate score of 6-1.

- The Red Sox may have a secret weapon. His name? Carlos Delgado. The 38-year-old slugger is rehabbing a hip injury and is just two seasons removed from 38 home runs and 115 RBI. He is in talks to meet with the Red Sox in New York this weekend for a try-out. Boston needs all the help it can for a suddenly anemic lineup, with Mike Lowell taking over for the injured Kevin Youkilis at first base. Boston has quality pitching and now very little hitting – the team has an over/under record of 55-49-5 this season, but is just 3-3 over its past six. Pay close attention to Boston as a sharp under lean the next few weeks.

- Brewers outfielder Carlos Gomez will go on the 15-day disabled list with a concussion. Gomez has an on-base percentage below .300, but is very solid defensively and one of the fastest players in a lineup reliant on extra-base hits. Milwaukee is eighth in the Majors with 513 runs scored and is hitting .261 as a team, but now must start another rookie, Lorenzo Cain, who will take Gomez’s place in center field. Look for the team’s streaky lineup to take a step back. In 22 games in AAA-Nashville, Cain was hitting .299 with just 13 runs and nine RBI.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GREEK SPORTS PICKS

PREMIUM PLAYS
Chicago White Sox -165
NY Yankees/Boston Reds Sox over 8.5
Minnesota Twins -145

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BASEBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY

Minnesota Twins (-140) over Cleveland Indians

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Angels Friday night.

Saturday it's the Angels. The profit is 15 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo was brutalized by a double-beatdown from the Yankees and Marlins last night, causing the beastly burden to balloon to 1,300 landrums.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch expects the Giants to show that Cain-do spirit against Los Bravos -- 10 units on SF. Also, he has more advice: Go Westbrook, young bet tor -- 10 units on the Cardinals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Cubs
Rays
Mets

 

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Arthur Ralph Sports
491 - 361 run 58 %

Bonus Play SAT KC Royals + 110

 

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KIKI SPORTS

Saturday August 7th

1 unit Atlanta -145
2 units San Diego -120
1 unit Baltimore +155

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Betting Pros Soccer
SELECTIONS FOR SATURDAY 7TH OF AUGUST

Marseille v.s Caen - Back Marseille for 100points (current odds = 1.32)
Legia Warsaw v.s Arsenal - Back Arsenal for 100points (current odds = 1.64)

Selections are based on a starting bank of 1000 points. This is a minimum recommendation.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pro Tipster

Date Country League Event Our pick
07.08.2010 England Championship Leeds - Derby Leeds +0
07.08.2010 France Ligue 1 PSG - St Etienne PSG 0,-0.5
07.08.2010 France Ligue 1 Auxerre - Lorient Auxerre 0,-0.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SAMS Picks

rance - Ligue 1 - 19:00 GMT
PSG - ST ETIENNE take PSG to win
Bet365 odds: 1,73
Best odds: 1,73 Bet365

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Grad betting


Örebro SK - Malmö FF; bet on Orebro SK 0, -0.5 @2.125